Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.001069 0.001214 0.001360 0.001517 0.001680 0.001845 0.002023
2025-11-16 0.000836 0.001045 0.001261 0.001499 0.001754 0.002015 0.002302
2025-11-23 0.000659 0.000912 0.001183 0.001491 0.001825 0.002173 0.002561
2025-11-30 0.000555 0.000847 0.001170 0.001543 0.001955 0.002389 0.002878
2025-12-07 0.000431 0.000746 0.001107 0.001533 0.002012 0.002522 0.003102
2025-12-14 0.000313 0.000638 0.001027 0.001497 0.002033 0.002612 0.003275
2025-12-21 0.000249 0.000587 0.001008 0.001526 0.002124 0.002776 0.003525
2025-12-28 0.000168 0.000503 0.000941 0.001495 0.002143 0.002856 0.003681
2026-01-04 0.000116 0.000449 0.000908 0.001500 0.002200 0.002975 0.003877
2026-01-11 0.000069 0.000389 0.000861 0.001484 0.002231 0.003063 0.004037
2026-01-18 0.000034 0.000338 0.000821 0.001474 0.002265 0.003153 0.004196
2026-01-25 0.000004 0.000263 0.000740 0.001409 0.002233 0.003165 0.004266
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000203 0.000688 0.001393 0.002276 0.003284 0.004483
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000154 0.000644 0.001387 0.002332 0.003420 0.004720
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000113 0.000606 0.001386 0.002393 0.003562 0.004965
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000097 0.000610 0.001441 0.002524 0.003784 0.005301
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000064 0.000571 0.001435 0.002576 0.003915 0.005532
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000031 0.000516 0.001402 0.002592 0.004001 0.005710
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000019 0.000506 0.001431 0.002687 0.004178 0.005993
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000002 0.000458 0.001402 0.002704 0.004263 0.006167
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.000434 0.001406 0.002764 0.004397 0.006396
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000400 0.001392 0.002798 0.004498 0.006587
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000370 0.001382 0.002835 0.004602 0.006780